Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 26/08, 04:00

Prediction: Cherry Kim vs Ekaterina Tupitsyna

Team pages: Cherry Kim

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Cherry Kim Ekaterina Tupitsyna
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Cherry Kim 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLLW
Ekaterina Tupitsyna 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cherry Kim 1469 · Ekaterina Tupitsyna 1571
Cherry KimEkaterina Tupitsyna
Our model36%64%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Tupitsyna (rating 1469 vs 1571).
  • Ekaterina Tupitsyna is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Cherry Kim makes many double faults (5.4/match).
  • Note: Ekaterina Tupitsyna makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Cherry KimEkaterina Tupitsyna
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.4-0.7
Games (G-P)7.3-10.611.3-7.4
Aces0.21.9
Double faults5.44.6
1st serve %53.1%66.6%
Break %42.9%67.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cherry Kim

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Polina Kuharenko
W15 Tianjin
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Tori Kinard
W15 Sapporo
0-2 5-12 L
09/06 Natsuki Yoshimoto
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/06 Shiho Tsujioka
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 10-10 W
28/05 Hiromi Abe
W15 Fukui · ~Hard
0-2 1-7 L
27/05 Kanon Sawashiro
W15 Fukui · ~Hard
2-1 15-16 W
20/05 Sae Noguchi
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/05 Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/05 Hana Matsumura
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
29/04 Eunhye Lee
W35 Goyang · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Ekaterina Tupitsyna

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
1-2 13-17 L
19/07 Kamonwan Yodpetch
W15 Astana
1-2 16-19 L
18/07 Maria Sholokhova
W15 Astana
1-0 6-2 W
17/07 Victoria Milovanova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
W15 Astana
2-1 16-6 W
10/07 Ekaterina Maklakova
W15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
09/07 Aiya Nupbay
W15 Astana
1-0 6-0 W
08/07 Yashaswini Panwar
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
10/05 Noemi Maines
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/05 Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cherry Kim vs Ekaterina Tupitsyna?

Our model gives 74% to Ekaterina Tupitsyna, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.