Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 26/08, 04:00

Prediction: Momoko Kobori vs Maria Kalyakina

Team pages: Momoko Kobori · Maria Kalyakina

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Momoko Kobori Maria Kalyakina
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Momoko Kobori 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWLL
Maria Kalyakina 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Momoko Kobori 1480 · Maria Kalyakina 1515
Momoko KoboriMaria Kalyakina
Our model45%55%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Momoko KoboriMaria Kalyakina
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.3-1.1
Games (G-P)11.1-10.711.4-10.7
Aces0.61.7
Double faults3.43.1
1st serve %57%60.4%
Break %47.1%59.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Momoko Kobori

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Lola Giza
W50 Hamburg
0-2 1-12 L
08/07 Elizabeth Mandlik
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
05/07 Mary Lewis
WTA Newport · Grass
2-1 16-8 W
02/07 Yexin Ma
W100 Cary · ~Hard
1-2 14-14 L
30/06 Victoria Osuigwe
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
15/06 Anastasia Kulikova
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
14/06 Carmen Lopez Martinez
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
08/06 Celine Naef
WTA Ilkley · Grass
0-2 10-14 L
07/06 Katy Dunne
WTA Ilkley · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
23/05 Yuki Naito
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
1-2 15-18 L

Maria Kalyakina

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Maiko Uchijima
W15 Tianjin
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Dabin Kim
W15 Tianjin
1-2 13-15 L
12/08 Eva Marie Desvignes
W15 Tianjin
1-2 12-14 L
04/08 Chenting Zhu
W15 Tianjin
0-2 10-13 L
18/07 JiaYi Wang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/07 Alexandra Malova
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
16/07 Riko Kikawada
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
14/07 Jiho Shin
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
11/07 Alina Tikhonova
W15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 9-15 L
10/07 Yingqun Sun
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Momoko Kobori vs Maria Kalyakina?

Our model gives 54% to Momoko Kobori, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.