Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 26/08, 08:30
Prediction: Chase Ferguson vs Yua Taka
Team pages: Chase Ferguson · Yua Taka
Prediction summary
Winner
Chase Ferguson
Yua Taka
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Chase Ferguson
5-5 (W-L)
Yua Taka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chase Ferguson 1482 · Yua Taka 1489
| Chase Ferguson | Yua Taka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Chase Ferguson | Yua Taka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.6 | 8.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chase Ferguson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Derek Pham M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 16/07 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Yua Taka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Yue Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | James Van Herzeele M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Martin Borisiouk M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chase Ferguson vs Yua Taka?
Our model gives 61% to Chase Ferguson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.