Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 26/08, 07:00
Prediction: Xirui Han vs Sergey Fomin
Team pages: Xirui Han · Sergey Fomin
Prediction summary
Winner
Xirui Han
Sergey Fomin
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Xirui Han
8-2 (W-L)
Sergey Fomin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xirui Han 1555 · Sergey Fomin 1504
| Xirui Han | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xirui Han (rating 1555 vs 1504).
- Sergey Fomin dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 42.2% break avg.
- Note: Sergey Fomin makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Xirui Han | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.7 | 12.2-11 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xirui Han
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Suk Ann M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Xiuyuan Ye M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 27/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Shaoyun Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Hao Sheng Koay M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Alberto Lim Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Bill Chan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Mircea-Alexandru Jecan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xirui Han vs Sergey Fomin?
Our model gives 66% to Sergey Fomin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.