Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 26/08, 23:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson
Team pages: Ekaterina Alexandrova · Clara Tauson
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Clara Tauson
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6-4 (W-L)
Clara Tauson
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Alexandrova
0–2
Clara Tauson
(2 last)
- 15 Sept1-2 16-16L
- 01 Mar0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1536 · Clara Tauson 1508
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Clara Tauson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Clara Tauson dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Alexandrova 0–2 Clara Tauson (2).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Clara Tauson makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Clara Tauson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.6 | 11.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Ekaterina Alexandrova 0 – 2 Clara Tauson (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Alexandrova 0–2 Clara Tauson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/21 WTA Luxembourg | 1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/03/21 WTA Lyon | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 06/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Panna Udvardy Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Naomi Osaka WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Clara Tauson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson?
Our model gives 54% to Ekaterina Alexandrova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.