Tennis · W15 Torello · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Gabriela M Vancea vs Daria Shubina
Team pages: Gabriela M Vancea · Daria Shubina
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriela M Vancea
Daria Shubina
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriela M Vancea
5-5 (W-L)
Daria Shubina
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriela M Vancea 1452 · Daria Shubina 1535
| Gabriela M Vancea | Daria Shubina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Shubina (rating 1452 vs 1535).
- Daria Shubina is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Gabriela M Vancea makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Daria Shubina makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Gabriela M Vancea | Daria Shubina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10 | 10.7-10 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 69.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriela M Vancea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Aleksandra Mateva W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Laura Rabasco Segura W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/11 | Madalena Matias ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Valentina Steiner ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Deborah Chiesa ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Min Liu ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Valentina Vargas ITF W50 Baza |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 18/09 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Sarah Suljadzic ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
Daria Shubina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Jenna Defalco W15 Logrono |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Cayetana Gutierrez Imaz W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Megan Heuser W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Mariya Dobreva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariya Dobreva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Irmak Ozturk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/05 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Yuhan Chen W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriela M Vancea vs Daria Shubina?
Our model gives 66% to Daria Shubina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.