Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 26/08, 23:00
Prediction: Maja Chwalinska vs Alycia Parks
Team pages: Maja Chwalinska · Alycia Parks
Prediction summary
Winner
Maja Chwalinska
Alycia Parks
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maja Chwalinska
6-4 (W-L)
Alycia Parks
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maja Chwalinska 1527 · Alycia Parks 1491
| Maja Chwalinska | Alycia Parks | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Maja Chwalinska | Alycia Parks | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.6 | 10.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 7.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 57% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Maria Sakkari French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 28/05 | Elise Mertens French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alycia Parks
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Petra Marcinko WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Alicia Dudeney Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maja Chwalinska vs Alycia Parks?
Our model gives 61% to Maja Chwalinska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.