Tennis · M15 Monastir · 26/08, 10:30
Prediction: Thando Longwe-Smit vs Toufik Sahtali
Team pages: Toufik Sahtali
Prediction summary
Winner
Thando Longwe-Smit
Toufik Sahtali
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Thando Longwe-Smit
5-5 (W-L)
Toufik Sahtali
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thando Longwe-Smit
0–1
Toufik Sahtali
(1 last)
- 23 Jul1-2 11-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thando Longwe-Smit 1505 · Toufik Sahtali 1519
| Thando Longwe-Smit | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Thando Longwe-Smit 0–1 Toufik Sahtali (1).
- Note: Toufik Sahtali makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Thando Longwe-Smit | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.7 | 10.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 43% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Thando Longwe-Smit 0 – 1 Toufik Sahtali (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thando Longwe-Smit 0–1 Toufik Sahtali
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/23 M15 Monastir | 1-2 | 11-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thando Longwe-Smit
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Laurence Teunissen Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/05 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Michael Zhu Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Alec Beckley M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Lev Seidman M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/05 | Rocco Piatti M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Stefan Storch M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/05 | Zak Talic M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/05 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Toufik Sahtali
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dimitris Azoidis Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Gokberk Saritas Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/07 | Charles Bertimon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 03/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thando Longwe-Smit vs Toufik Sahtali?
Our model gives 66% to Toufik Sahtali, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.