Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 25/08, 09:00
Prediction: Aleksa Oparnica vs Mikhail Khodorchenko
Team pages: Aleksa Oparnica · Mikhail Khodorchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksa Oparnica
Mikhail Khodorchenko
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksa Oparnica
4-6 (W-L)
Mikhail Khodorchenko
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksa Oparnica 1479 · Mikhail Khodorchenko 1498
| Aleksa Oparnica | Mikhail Khodorchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aleksa Oparnica | Mikhail Khodorchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.3 | 9.4-10 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksa Oparnica
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Egor Khotchenkov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Tim Vaisman M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nikola Jovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Ander Tarrio Ponte UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Valeriy Martishev UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | David Knesl UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Carles Hernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Mikhail Khodorchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Alan Aiukhanov M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 27/05 | Alan Bojarski M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/05 | Davit Zogranian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Hitesh Chauhan M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Omar Morsy M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/05 | Nico Hipfl M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Semen Pankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksa Oparnica vs Mikhail Khodorchenko?
Our model gives 59% to Aleksa Oparnica, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.