Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 25/08, 10:30

Prediction: Caheer Warik vs Andrea Motta

Team pages: Caheer Warik · Andrea Motta

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Caheer Warik Andrea Motta
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Caheer Warik 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLLL
Andrea Motta 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caheer Warik 1455 · Andrea Motta 1488
Caheer WarikAndrea Motta
Our model45%55%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Caheer Warik makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Caheer WarikAndrea Motta
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.51.2-1.3
Games (G-P)9.6-11.710.6-10.2
Aces0.51.5
Double faults62.8
1st serve %57%67.8%
Break %38%45.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Caheer Warik

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Stefan Kostic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 9-9 L
06/08 Lorenzo Comino
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
05/08 Denis Klok
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
04/08 Savva Rybkin
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 7-9 W
18/07 Razvan Baiant
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
17/07 Hoan Mouret
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
16/07 Jakub Volesky
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
1-2 9-16 L
15/07 Cyrus Mahjoob
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
14/07 Sep De Visser
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/07 Kristijan Janev
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Andrea Motta

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/08 Maksim Despotovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Franco Ariel Vazquez
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 11-3 W
11/08 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 13-14 L
28/07 Ansar Niyetkaliyev
M15 Astana
1-2 11-11 L
27/07 Rafael Giotis
M15 Astana
2-1 11-10 W
06/05 Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 14-19 L
10/02 Vlad Andrei Dancu
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 9-8 L
04/02 Alexander Wagner
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/02 Botond Nagy
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caheer Warik vs Andrea Motta?

Our model gives 64% to Andrea Motta, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.