Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 25/08, 09:00

Prediction: Giovanni Ciocca vs Gokberk Saritas

Team pages: Giovanni Ciocca · Gokberk Saritas

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Giovanni Ciocca Gokberk Saritas
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Ciocca 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLWW
Gokberk Saritas 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giovanni Ciocca 1437 · Gokberk Saritas 1411
Giovanni CioccaGokberk Saritas
Our model54%46%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Giovanni CioccaGokberk Saritas
Win %20%20%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.60.5-1.6
Games (G-P)7.5-11.46.8-11.8
Aces0.72.6
Double faults3.21.9
1st serve %54.2%60.9%
Break %41.9%24.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giovanni Ciocca

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Sebastian Gima
M15 Arad
1-2 8-15 L
18/08 Louis Allen
M15 Arad
2-0 12-7 W
12/08 Ignacio Monzon
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 6-12 L
11/08 Carles Rojas
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 6-12 L
05/08 Fermin Tenti
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
04/08 Jose Murariu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Preston Brown
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
13/07 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
08/07 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L

Gokberk Saritas

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Egor Khotchenkov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Toufik Sahtali
Challenger Samsun · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
21/05 Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
19/03 Millen Hurrion
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
18/03 Sacha Grandvincent
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/03 Jan Kupcic
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
24/02 Andrey Chepelev
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
17/02 Andrey Chepelev
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/02 Thomas Drayton
M15 Zahra · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L
02/02 Ioannis Stamatopoulos
M15 Zahra · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giovanni Ciocca vs Gokberk Saritas?

Our model gives 57% to Giovanni Ciocca, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.