Tennis · W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Natalija Senic vs Samira De Stefano
Team pages: Natalija Senic · Samira De Stefano
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalija Senic
Samira De Stefano
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Natalija Senic
7-3 (W-L)
Samira De Stefano
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalija Senic 1543 · Samira De Stefano 1483
| Natalija Senic | Samira De Stefano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natalija Senic (rating 1543 vs 1483).
- Natalija Senic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Natalija Senic | Samira De Stefano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-5.4 | 10.6-12.2 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 50.3% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalija Senic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Miriam Bulgaru W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/08 | Tereza Vajsejtlova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Olga Bienzobas Fernandez UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Karolina Krajmer UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Natalie Cinkova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Samira De Stefano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Miriam Bulgaru W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Antonia Rivera W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 23/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tamila Gadamauri W50 Horb |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Daria Snigur WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Lisa Pigato W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalija Senic vs Samira De Stefano?
Our model gives 51% to Samira De Stefano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.