Tennis · W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 25/08, 11:00

Prediction: Elena Milovanovic vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric

Team pages: Elena Milovanovic · Lucija Ciric Bagaric

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Elena Milovanovic Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Milovanovic 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLLL
Lucija Ciric Bagaric 9-1 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elena Milovanovic 1536 · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1570
Elena MilovanovicLucija Ciric Bagaric
Our model45%55%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Elena Milovanovic makes many double faults (4.2/match).
  • Note: Lucija Ciric Bagaric makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Elena MilovanovicLucija Ciric Bagaric
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.6-0.6
Games (G-P)10.6-9.211.9-8.7
Aces3.12.2
Double faults4.24.2
1st serve %65%65%
Break %40.2%73.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elena Milovanovic

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Gala Ivanovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
13/08 Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
11/08 Kristiana Sidorova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
10/08 Xinran Sun
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
09/08 Gyeong Seo Lee
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
27/07 Sara Cakarevic
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 4-12 L
26/07 Wozuko Mdlulwa
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Sapfo Sakellaridi
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Sina Herrmann
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 14-11 W
18/06 Yushan Shao
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Lucija Ciric Bagaric

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
19/08 Lea Boskovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/08 Antonia Stoyanov
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
16/08 Lana Virc
W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
10/08 Ksenia Zaytseva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
09/08 Bianca E Barbulescu
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
30/07 Francesca Jones
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
28/07 Rachel Gailis
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/07 Maria Sara Popa
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/07 Amandine Monnot
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elena Milovanovic vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric?

Our model gives 61% to Lucija Ciric Bagaric, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.