Tennis · W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Ksenia Zaytseva
Team pages: Lia Karatancheva · Ksenia Zaytseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Ksenia Zaytseva
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
4-6 (W-L)
Ksenia Zaytseva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1509 · Ksenia Zaytseva 1596
| Lia Karatancheva | Ksenia Zaytseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ksenia Zaytseva (rating 1509 vs 1596).
- Ksenia Zaytseva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ksenia Zaytseva makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Ksenia Zaytseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.8-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10 | 14.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ikumi Yamazaki W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 04/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Nika Hurkacz WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Ksenia Zaytseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Nina Radovanovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Milica Stosovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Lidia Encheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/08 | Amandine Hesse W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Katarina Zavatska W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 10/08 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Dusica Popovski W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Ksenia Zaytseva?
Our model gives 64% to Ksenia Zaytseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.