Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Oleksii Krutykh vs Matias Soto
Team pages: Oleksii Krutykh · Matias Soto
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksii Krutykh
Matias Soto
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksii Krutykh
7-3 (W-L)
Matias Soto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksii Krutykh 1600 · Matias Soto 1513
| Oleksii Krutykh | Matias Soto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksii Krutykh (rating 1600 vs 1513).
Statistics
| Oleksii Krutykh | Matias Soto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.3 | 11-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksii Krutykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/08 | David Poljak Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Matias Soto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Rafael Tosetto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Gabriel P Tumasonis M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksii Krutykh vs Matias Soto?
Our model gives 64% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.