Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 26/08, 19:30
Prediction: Matei Gavrea vs Pavel Bushuev
Team pages: Matei Gavrea · Pavel Bushuev
Prediction summary
Winner
Matei Gavrea
Pavel Bushuev
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matei Gavrea
7-3 (W-L)
Pavel Bushuev
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matei Gavrea 1507 · Pavel Bushuev 1463
| Matei Gavrea | Pavel Bushuev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matei Gavrea (rating 1507 vs 1463).
- Note: Pavel Bushuev makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Matei Gavrea | Pavel Bushuev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.4 | 8.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matei Gavrea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andrew Gordon UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Arsene Pougault UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Matic Dimic UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Leonid Sheyngezikht UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Nik Mikovic UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Fred Gil UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Charlie Penman UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Pavel Bushuev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Justin Chung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Perry Di Giulio UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Holland Snell UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Andy Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Rishvanth Krishna UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/07 | David Wu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Lorenzo Brunkow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matei Gavrea vs Pavel Bushuev?
Our model gives 59% to Matei Gavrea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.