Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt
Team pages: Kai Wehnelt · Nick Hardt
Prediction summary
Winner
Kai Wehnelt
Nick Hardt
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kai Wehnelt
8-2 (W-L)
Nick Hardt
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kai Wehnelt
1–0
Nick Hardt
(1 last)
- 17 Jul2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kai Wehnelt 1567 · Nick Hardt 1554
| Kai Wehnelt | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kai Wehnelt dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 52% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Kai Wehnelt 1–0 Nick Hardt (1).
- Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kai Wehnelt | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.1 | 12.6-11 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 68% |
| Break % | 52% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Kai Wehnelt 1 – 0 Nick Hardt (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kai Wehnelt 1–0 Nick Hardt
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/19 M25 Kassel | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kai Wehnelt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Nino Ehrenschneider Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Noah Karma Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Flynn Thomas M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Thomas Gunzinger M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Nick Hardt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Jakub Filip Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Oliveira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt?
Our model gives 53% to Nick Hardt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.