Tennis · W75 Bytom · 25/08, 11:30

Prediction: Daria Gorska vs Sonja Zhenikhova

Team pages: Daria Gorska · Sonja Zhenikhova

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Daria Gorska Sonja Zhenikhova
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Gorska 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWLW
Sonja Zhenikhova 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daria Gorska 1481 · Sonja Zhenikhova 1524
Daria GorskaSonja Zhenikhova
Our model44%56%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sonja Zhenikhova (rating 1481 vs 1524).

Statistics

Daria GorskaSonja Zhenikhova
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.3-0.9
Games (G-P)10.6-11.310.1-9.5
Aces1.31
Double faults2.83.6
1st serve %62.9%57.9%
Break %54.8%58%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daria Gorska

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Julia Adams
W75 Bytom
2-0 14-11 W
02/08 Alana Smith
WTA Warsaw · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
30/07 Sophia Ksandinov
W15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 16-18 L
29/07 Amelia Paszun
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 13-10 W
15/07 Weronika Ewald
Polish National Championships (W)
0-2 8-13 L
23/06 Weronika Falkowska
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Alisa Yakimakho
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
17/06 Marcelina Podlinska
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L
16/06 Kornelia Krzesniak
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/05 Giorgia Pedone
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Sonja Zhenikhova

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Ivana Sebestova
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Lola Giza
W35 Erwitte
1-2 10-16 L
13/08 Anna Siskova
W50 Hamburg
0-2 3-12 L
11/08 Laura Mair
W50 Hamburg
2-1 14-11 W
30/07 Maileen Nuudi
W15 Savitaipale
0-2 6-13 L
29/07 Margaux Komano
W15 Savitaipale
2-0 13-9 W
23/07 Marie Mettraux
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 5-12 L
21/07 Elsa Bonelli
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 13-7 W
20/07 Alice Battesti
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-2 W
19/07 Alexandra Biot
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daria Gorska vs Sonja Zhenikhova?

Our model gives 59% to Sonja Zhenikhova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.