Tennis · W75 Bytom · 28/08, 10:00

Prediction: Barbora Palicova vs Xinyu Gao

Team pages: Barbora Palicova · Xinyu Gao

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Barbora Palicova Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Barbora Palicova 9-1 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWWW
Xinyu Gao 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barbora Palicova 1612 · Xinyu Gao 1572
Barbora PalicovaXinyu Gao
Our model56%44%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Palicova (rating 1612 vs 1572).

Statistics

Barbora PalicovaXinyu Gao
Win %90%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.31.4-0.7
Games (G-P)13.2-7.79.8-7.4
Aces0.61.1
Double faults2.71.5
1st serve %61.9%67.3%
Break %58%49.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barbora Palicova

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Daria Kuczer
W75 Bytom
2-0 13-7 W
26/08 Irina Fetecau
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-6 W
09/08 Noemi Basiletti
W75 Koksijde
1-2 16-16 L
08/08 Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W75 Koksijde
2-0 12-5 W
07/08 Tatiana Pieri
W75 Koksijde
2-0 12-7 W
06/08 Sofya Lansere
W75 Koksijde
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Lucie Nguyen Tan
W75 Koksijde
2-0 12-2 W
02/08 Fiona Ferro
W75 Hechingen
2-1 18-16 W
01/08 Nuria Brancaccio
W75 Hechingen
2-0 13-8 W
31/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W75 Hechingen
2-0 12-4 W

Xinyu Gao

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-8 W
26/08 Zongyu Li
W75 Bytom
2-0 12-1 W
22/08 Jana Kovackova
W50 Prague
0-2 2-12 L
21/08 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
W50 Prague
2-0 12-3 W
19/08 Mayuka Aikawa
W50 Prague
2-0 12-0 W
18/08 Julia Adams
W50 Prague
2-0 13-8 W
06/08 Britt Du Pree
W75 Ourense
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Maria Toma
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Lilli Tagger
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/07 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Prague · Hard
2-1 12-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barbora Palicova vs Xinyu Gao?

Our model gives 51% to Barbora Palicova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.