Tennis · W15 Torello · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Team pages: Aleksandra Pozarenko · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Pozarenko
5-5 (W-L)
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Pozarenko 1472 · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 1514
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon (rating 1472 vs 1514).
- Note: Aleksandra Pozarenko makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9 | 11.2-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Petra Konjikusic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Milisavljevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Nadja Mladenovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Anna Shkutova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Ada Kumru W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Sara Pantelic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/02 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/08 | Gloriana Nahum W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Victoria Rodriguez W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Florence |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Florence |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Mayu Crossley W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Jade Otway W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon?
Our model gives 70% to Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.