Tennis · W15 Brasov · 26/08, 12:00
Prediction: Helena Stevic vs Ilinca Sagmar
Team pages: Helena Stevic · Ilinca Sagmar
Prediction summary
Winner
Helena Stevic
Ilinca Sagmar
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Helena Stevic
3-7 (W-L)
Ilinca Sagmar
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Helena Stevic 1438 · Ilinca Sagmar 1488
| Helena Stevic | Ilinca Sagmar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilinca Sagmar (rating 1438 vs 1488).
Statistics
| Helena Stevic | Ilinca Sagmar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.4 | 8.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.5% | 52.8% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Helena Stevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Lejla Hana Golubovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Jana Bojovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariya Yemshanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Ilinca Sagmar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Mariia Drobysheva W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Alesia Breaz W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Eszter Meri W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gloria Levinsky W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Cluj Napoca |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Laura Brunkel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Helena Stevic vs Ilinca Sagmar?
Our model gives 59% to Ilinca Sagmar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.