Tennis · W15 Brasov · 05/09, 10:00
Prediction: Simona Ogescu vs Alesia Breaz
Team pages: Simona Ogescu · Alesia Breaz
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Prediction summary
Winner
Simona Ogescu
Alesia Breaz
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Ogescu
7-3 (W-L)
Alesia Breaz
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Simona Ogescu
0–1
Alesia Breaz
(1 last)
- 18 Apr1-2 11-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simona Ogescu 1497 · Alesia Breaz 1498
| Simona Ogescu | Alesia Breaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Simona Ogescu 0–1 Alesia Breaz (1).
- Note: Simona Ogescu makes many double faults (6.6/match).
- Note: Alesia Breaz makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Simona Ogescu | Alesia Breaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.1 | 11.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Simona Ogescu 0 – 1 Alesia Breaz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Simona Ogescu 0–1 Alesia Breaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 UTR Pro Beograd Women | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Ogescu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Joulia Cristiana Cirstea W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Ana Ioana Varsa W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Maria Sara Popa W15 Brasov |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Valentina Abril Bruno W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Alexandra Irina Anghel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Valentina Abril Bruno W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Veronika Kulhava W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Alesia Breaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Serena Paris W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Alessia Popescu W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Ilinca Sagmar W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Angelica Raggi W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Agnese Gentili W15 Cluj Napoca |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Kaat Coppez W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Anastasia Safta W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Ogescu vs Alesia Breaz?
Our model gives 58% to Alesia Breaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.