Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 26/08, 04:00

Prediction: Yingqun Sun vs Yuno Kitahara

Team pages: Yingqun Sun · Yuno Kitahara

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Yingqun Sun Yuno Kitahara
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yingqun Sun 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLWLLL
Yuno Kitahara 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yingqun Sun 1462 · Yuno Kitahara 1468
Yingqun SunYuno Kitahara
Our model49%51%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yingqun SunYuno Kitahara
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.50.8-1.4
Games (G-P)9.2-12.28.8-11.3
Aces0.90.7
Double faults3.52.1
1st serve %59.9%56.9%
Break %55.9%40.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yingqun Sun

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Ya-Yi Yang
W15 Tianjin
0-2 6-13 L
12/08 Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Tianjin
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Anastasiia Gureva
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
15/07 Onyu Choi
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
10/07 Maria Kalyakina
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
09/07 Maralgoo Chogsomjav
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 12-14 W
08/07 Sijia Wei
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 8-5 W
16/06 Jinyu Zhou
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/06 Mutsumi Uemura
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/05 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L

Yuno Kitahara

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Alana Smith
W35 Aldershot
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
30/07 Vaidehee Chaudhari
W35 Aldershot
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Denise Valente
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Thasaporn Naklo
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/06 Haruka Kaji
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/06 Thasaporn Naklo
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
18/06 Fang An Lin
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Natsumi Kawaguchi
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
12/06 Hikaru Sato
W15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yingqun Sun vs Yuno Kitahara?

Our model gives 54% to Yuno Kitahara, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.