Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 25/08, 06:30
Prediction: Han Shi vs Shiyu Ye
Team pages: Han Shi · Shiyu Ye
Prediction summary
Winner
Han Shi
Shiyu Ye
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Han Shi
6-4 (W-L)
Shiyu Ye
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Han Shi 1564 · Shiyu Ye 1497
| Han Shi | Shiyu Ye | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1564 vs 1497).
- Han Shi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Han Shi | Shiyu Ye | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.2 | 10.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ruien Zhang W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Ida Wobker W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Susan Bandecchi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Shiyu Ye
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Sijia Wei W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Ekaterina Yashina W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 31/05 | Ekaterina Maklakova W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 21/05 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Shiyu Ye?
Our model gives 74% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.