Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 25/08, 05:00
Prediction: Junlu Sun vs Yuzuha Negishi
Team pages: Junlu Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Junlu Sun
Yuzuha Negishi
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Junlu Sun
2-8 (W-L)
Yuzuha Negishi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Junlu Sun 1424 · Yuzuha Negishi 1438
| Junlu Sun | Yuzuha Negishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Junlu Sun | Yuzuha Negishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-10.6 | 7.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 46% | 53.3% |
| Break % | 53% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Junlu Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Naho Sato W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Xu Yunzhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jialan Cai W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Wushuang Zheng W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Tiana Tian Deng W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Sunam Jeong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Eunyeong Park W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yuzuha Negishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Tori Kinard W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/05 | Yuna Sugiyama W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Ching Laam Lai W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 12/05 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Hwiwon Wi W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Ayumi Miyamoto W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Sara Yoshida W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 03/03 | Ruby Cooling W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Junlu Sun vs Yuzuha Negishi?
Our model gives 67% to Junlu Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.