Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 25/08, 05:00
Prediction: Maria Kalyakina vs Maiko Uchijima
Team pages: Maria Kalyakina
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Kalyakina
Maiko Uchijima
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Kalyakina
5-5 (W-L)
Maiko Uchijima
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Kalyakina 1522 · Maiko Uchijima 1518
| Maria Kalyakina | Maiko Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maria Kalyakina | Maiko Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.8 | 8.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 56% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Kalyakina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Dabin Kim W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Chenting Zhu W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Alexandra Malova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Riko Kikawada W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Jiho Shin W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Yingqun Sun W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Ma Ruoxi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Maiko Uchijima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Alisa Vasileva W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Laquisa Khan W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Eva Lopez W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Kimiko Cooper W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Leilany Ipunesso W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Kanako Osafune W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Ana Grubor W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Kelly Keller W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Kalyakina vs Maiko Uchijima?
Our model gives 66% to Maria Kalyakina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.