Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 25/08, 03:30
Prediction: Ayano Shimizu vs Eunchae Kim
Team pages: Ayano Shimizu · Eunchae Kim
Prediction summary
Winner
Ayano Shimizu
Eunchae Kim
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ayano Shimizu
3-7 (W-L)
Eunchae Kim
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ayano Shimizu
1–0
Eunchae Kim
(1 last)
- 04 Jun2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayano Shimizu 1443 · Eunchae Kim 1550
| Ayano Shimizu | Eunchae Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eunchae Kim (rating 1443 vs 1550).
- Eunchae Kim is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ayano Shimizu 1–0 Eunchae Kim (1).
- Note: Eunchae Kim makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Ayano Shimizu | Eunchae Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10.4 | 10.7-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 52.6% | 68% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Ayano Shimizu 1 – 0 Eunchae Kim (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayano Shimizu 1–0 Eunchae Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/24 ITF W35 Daegu | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayano Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Yuki Naito W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Reina Goto W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Liuyan An W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Hikaru Sato W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Kanon Sawashiro W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Sara Saito W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Valentina Ryser W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Emerson Jones W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Eunchae Kim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Anjali Rathi W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Laxmisiri Dandu W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Aiya Nupbay W15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Kisa Yoshioka W15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Pooja Ingale W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayano Shimizu vs Eunchae Kim?
Our model gives 50% to Ayano Shimizu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.