Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 25/08, 05:30
Prediction: Xirui Han vs Natsuki Yamamoto
Team pages: Xirui Han
Prediction summary
Winner
Xirui Han
Natsuki Yamamoto
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Xirui Han
7-3 (W-L)
Natsuki Yamamoto
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xirui Han 1540 · Natsuki Yamamoto 1447
| Xirui Han | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xirui Han (rating 1540 vs 1447).
- Xirui Han is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Natsuki Yamamoto makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Xirui Han | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10 | 9.5-12 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xirui Han
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Suk Ann M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Xiuyuan Ye M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 27/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Shaoyun Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Hao Sheng Koay M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Natsuki Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Yu Tanaka M15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Boda Zheng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/04 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Anning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/04 | Zhan Zheng M25 Anning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/02 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/02 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 31/01 | Kosuke Morita UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xirui Han vs Natsuki Yamamoto?
Our model gives 70% to Xirui Han, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.