Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 25/08, 04:00

Prediction: Zijiang Yang vs Alex Jones

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Zijiang Yang Alex Jones
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Zijiang Yang 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLL
Alex Jones 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zijiang Yang 1418 · Alex Jones 1457
Zijiang YangAlex Jones
Our model44%56%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Zijiang YangAlex Jones
Win %20%40%
Win % · Hard 20% (10) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.60.8-1.3
Games (G-P)6.7-10.88.5-8.8
Aces1.71.2
Double faults2.41.7
1st serve %58.8%62.4%
Break %31.8%52.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zijiang Yang

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/06 Zhao Zhao
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
02/06 Zhao Zhao
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
13/05 Toshiki Karigyo
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
12/05 Ye Chen
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/05 Kousuke Ogura
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/05 Brody Nejedly
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/04 Naoya Honda
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/11 Bu Yunchaokete
Australian Open Asia-Pacific WC · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
27/10 Fnu Nidunjianzan
ITF M25 Qian Daohu · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/10 Zhenxiong Dong
ITF M25 Huzhou · Hard
1-2 8-12 L

Alex Jones

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/06 Vit Kalina
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/06 Oliver Ojakaar
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
26/05 Vit Kalina
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/05 William Mclennaghan
M25 Nottingham
0-2 7-12 L
03/05 Mathias Lescano-Vecchi
M25 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-2 W
23/04 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/04 Chris Spyrou
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 8-0 W
21/04 Dorian Kos
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
09/04 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/04 Maik Steiner
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zijiang Yang vs Alex Jones?

Our model gives 70% to Alex Jones, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.