Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 26/08, 04:00
Prediction: Kaichi Uchida vs Tianhui Zhang
Team pages: Kaichi Uchida · Tianhui Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaichi Uchida
Tianhui Zhang
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Kaichi Uchida
0-10 (W-L)
Tianhui Zhang
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaichi Uchida 1387 · Tianhui Zhang 1523
| Kaichi Uchida | Tianhui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tianhui Zhang (rating 1387 vs 1523).
- Tianhui Zhang is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kaichi Uchida | Tianhui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0-2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-12.2 | 9.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 26.2% | 31.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Max Houkes Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | James McCabe Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Busan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Tianhui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Stefan Storch M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Miles Jones M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Joshua Charlton M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 04/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaichi Uchida vs Tianhui Zhang?
Our model gives 51% to Kaichi Uchida, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.