Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 25/08, 23:00
Prediction: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrell
Team pages: Darja Vidmanova · Kimberly Birrell
Prediction summary
Winner
Darja Vidmanova
Kimberly Birrell
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Darja Vidmanova
10-0 (W-L)
Kimberly Birrell
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darja Vidmanova 1559 · Kimberly Birrell 1462
| Darja Vidmanova | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darja Vidmanova (rating 1559 vs 1462).
- Darja Vidmanova dominates on serve: 6 aces and 54.4% break avg.
- Darja Vidmanova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Darja Vidmanova | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.7 | 10.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 66% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darja Vidmanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Caroline Werner WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Sloane Stephens WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Sakura Hosogi W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Kimberly Birrell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Peyton Stearns WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Indianna Spink WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Ann Li WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrell?
Our model gives 60% to Darja Vidmanova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.