Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 25/08, 23:00
Prediction: Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeeva
Team pages: Shuai Zhang · Maria Timofeeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Shuai Zhang
Maria Timofeeva
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Shuai Zhang
3-7 (W-L)
Maria Timofeeva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shuai Zhang 1491 · Maria Timofeeva 1545
| Shuai Zhang | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1491 vs 1545).
- Maria Timofeeva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Shuai Zhang | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.8 | 10.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 43% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shuai Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ann Li WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Maria Timofeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 23/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeeva?
Our model gives 50% to Shuai Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.