Tennis · W75 Bytom · 24/08, 09:30

Prediction: Lucie Petruzelova vs Katerina Mandelikova

Team pages: Lucie Petruzelova · Katerina Mandelikova

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Lucie Petruzelova Katerina Mandelikova
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Petruzelova 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWLLWL
Katerina Mandelikova 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucie Petruzelova 1543 · Katerina Mandelikova 1471
Lucie PetruzelovaKaterina Mandelikova
Our model60%40%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucie Petruzelova (rating 1543 vs 1471).

Statistics

Lucie PetruzelovaKaterina Mandelikova
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.1-1.3
Games (G-P)11.4-9.210.1-11
Aces1.50.9
Double faults2.83.8
1st serve %70.8%57.5%
Break %43.8%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucie Petruzelova

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Ariana Geerlings
W35 Krakow
0-2 5-13 L
18/08 Cristina Elena Tiglea
W35 Krakow
2-0 12-3 W
13/08 Nellie Taraba Wallberg
W35 Bydgoszcz
0-2 9-13 L
12/08 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Bydgoszcz
2-1 16-9 W
11/08 Saoirse Breen
W35 Bydgoszcz
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Emma Slavikova
W15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 14-17 L
01/08 Oriana Gniewkowska
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-5 W
31/07 Laura Svatikova
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 16-11 W
30/07 Patricia Georgiana Goina
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-3 W
20/07 Kali Supova
W100 Amstetten
0-2 6-12 L

Katerina Mandelikova

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Julie Pastikova
W35 Bydgoszcz
0-2 5-12 L
11/08 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W35 Bydgoszcz
2-0 12-8 W
02/08 Valeriya Strakhova
W75 Leipzig
0-2 4-12 L
30/07 Emma Slavikova
W15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 18-18 L
29/07 Zuzanna Kolonus
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 9-1 W
21/07 Lian Tran
W50 Horb
0-2 8-12 L
20/07 Laetitia Pulchartova
W50 Horb
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Aneta Laboutkova
W75 Olomouc
1-2 6-15 L
02/07 Valeriia Artemeva
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
01/07 Valentina Ivanov
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucie Petruzelova vs Katerina Mandelikova?

Our model gives 66% to Lucie Petruzelova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.