Tennis · W75 Bytom · 24/08, 12:30

Prediction: Laura Hietaranta vs Viktoria Veleva

Team pages: Laura Hietaranta · Viktoria Veleva

Prediction summary
Winner
79% 21%
Laura Hietaranta Viktoria Veleva
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Hietaranta 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWWL
Viktoria Veleva 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Laura Hietaranta 1573 · Viktoria Veleva 1432
Laura HietarantaViktoria Veleva
Our model69%31%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Hietaranta (rating 1573 vs 1432).
  • Laura Hietaranta is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Laura Hietaranta makes many double faults (4.3/match).
  • Note: Viktoria Veleva makes many double faults (9.1/match).

Statistics

Laura HietarantaViktoria Veleva
Win %70%20%
Win % · Clay 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.90.5-1.7
Games (G-P)12.5-9.87.3-11.2
Aces0.40.5
Double faults4.39.1
1st serve %58.4%54.7%
Break %62%59.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Laura Hietaranta

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/08 Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W15 Hameenlinna
1-2 14-14 L
08/08 Rachel Gailis
W15 Hameenlinna
2-1 14-12 W
07/08 Klara Veldman
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 12-3 W
06/08 Maileen Nuudi
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 14-11 W
05/08 Klara Blazkova
W15 Hameenlinna
2-1 17-10 W
30/07 Emma Lene
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Demi Tran
W100 Gran Canaria
2-1 15-13 W
27/07 Eleonora Alvisi
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-5 W
26/07 Lidia Gonzalez
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-2 W
21/07 Nuria Brancaccio
W75 Cordenons
1-2 11-16 L

Viktoria Veleva

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Megan Heuser
W35 Krakow
0-2 2-12 L
02/08 Gyeong Seo Lee
W75 Leipzig
0-2 5-12 L
27/07 Micol Salvadori
W50 Dublin
1-2 9-17 L
26/07 Tallulah Belle Lynn-Browne
W50 Dublin
2-0 12-0 W
19/07 Tina Manescu
W100 Amstetten
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W75 Olomouc
0-2 7-12 L
08/07 Aleksandra Pozarenko
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
02/07 Dunja Maric
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Mariya Yemshanova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 18-11 W
22/06 Sofia Rocchetti
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Laura Hietaranta vs Viktoria Veleva?

Our model gives 79% to Laura Hietaranta, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.