Tennis · W75 Bytom · 24/08, 14:00

Prediction: Miriana Tona vs Oriana Gniewkowska

Team pages: Miriana Tona · Oriana Gniewkowska

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Miriana Tona Oriana Gniewkowska
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Miriana Tona 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLLL
Oriana Gniewkowska 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miriana Tona 1481 · Oriana Gniewkowska 1526
Miriana TonaOriana Gniewkowska
Our model44%56%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriana Gniewkowska (rating 1481 vs 1526).

Statistics

Miriana TonaOriana Gniewkowska
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.3-1
Games (G-P)8.2-10.710.3-9.8
Aces1.70.8
Double faults33.2
1st serve %58.6%59%
Break %53.6%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miriana Tona

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Ariana Geerlings
W35 Krakow
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
27/07 Briana Szabo
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
26/07 Isabella Shinikova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Yufei Ren
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
16/07 Clara Tauson
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Sapfo Sakellaridi
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
12/07 Nao Hibino
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/07 Maria Rentoumi
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Marta Lombardini
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L

Oriana Gniewkowska

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Zuzanna Pawlikowska
W35 Krakow
0-2 2-12 L
19/08 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W35 Krakow
2-0 12-6 W
01/08 Lucie Petruzelova
W15 Bielsko Biala
0-2 5-12 L
31/07 Klara Kajabova
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 17-14 W
30/07 Chiara Fornasieri
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 12-3 W
29/07 Simona Wirglerova
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 13-7 W
28/07 Annemarie Lazar
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 11-12 W
20/07 Isabel Skoog
W35 Gentofte
0-2 8-13 L
19/07 Agnes Bang Kjaersgaard
W35 Gentofte
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Amelia Paszun
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miriana Tona vs Oriana Gniewkowska?

Our model gives 59% to Miriana Tona, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.