Tennis · W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 24/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Perelygina vs Sara Mikaca
Team pages: Sara Mikaca
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Perelygina
Sara Mikaca
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Perelygina
2-8 (W-L)
Sara Mikaca
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Perelygina
3–0
Sara Mikaca
(3 last)
- 09 Apr2-0 12-5W
- 09 Apr2-0 12-5W
- 25 Jul2-1 16-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Perelygina 1488 · Sara Mikaca 1541
| Ekaterina Perelygina | Sara Mikaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sara Mikaca (rating 1488 vs 1541).
- Sara Mikaca is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Perelygina 3–0 Sara Mikaca (3).
- Note: Ekaterina Perelygina makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Sara Mikaca makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Perelygina | Sara Mikaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-9.9 | 13.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 41% | 57% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Ekaterina Perelygina 3 – 0 Sara Mikaca (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Perelygina 3–0 Sara Mikaca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 Billie Jean King Cup | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/04/26 Billie Jean King Cup | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07/25 W15 Kursumlijska Banja | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Perelygina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Alexa Karatancheva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Yujia Huang W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 21/07 | Julia Grabher W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Aya El Aouni W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Emma Lene W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Sara Mikaca
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Andrea Obradovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Alja Senica W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Eszter Meri W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Barbara Dessolis W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Lucie Urbanova W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Jana Otzipka W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Chiara Semmelmeyer W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Veritsa Yaneva W15 Krsko |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariia Bergen W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Perelygina vs Sara Mikaca?
Our model gives 58% to Ekaterina Perelygina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.