Tennis · W35 Verbier Qual · 24/08, 13:00
Prediction: Michaela Bayerlova vs Christina Bednarczyk
Team pages: Michaela Bayerlova · Christina Bednarczyk
Prediction summary
Winner
Michaela Bayerlova
Christina Bednarczyk
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Michaela Bayerlova
5-5 (W-L)
Christina Bednarczyk
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michaela Bayerlova 1490 · Christina Bednarczyk 1440
| Michaela Bayerlova | Christina Bednarczyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michaela Bayerlova (rating 1490 vs 1440).
- Note: Michaela Bayerlova makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Christina Bednarczyk makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Michaela Bayerlova | Christina Bednarczyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.6 | 6.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michaela Bayerlova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Johanna Silva W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Mara Guth W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Ida Wobker W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Anna Kmiecik W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Livia Keller W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Diana Martynov WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
Christina Bednarczyk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Naoko Eto W35 Verbier Qual |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Karla Popovic W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mathilde Lollia W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Romane Longueville W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Rachelle Starreveld W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/05 | Mila Bastianelli W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Altenkirchen · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/11 | Gina Feistel ITF W75 Petange · Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 14/10 | Fiona Ganz ITF W15 Essen |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michaela Bayerlova vs Christina Bednarczyk?
Our model gives 74% to Michaela Bayerlova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.