Tennis · W35 Verbier Qual · 23/08, 12:00

Prediction: Cristina Pescucci vs Caterina Odorizzi

Team pages: Cristina Pescucci · Caterina Odorizzi

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Cristina Pescucci Caterina Odorizzi
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Cristina Pescucci 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWL
Caterina Odorizzi 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cristina Pescucci 1481 · Caterina Odorizzi 1436
Cristina PescucciCaterina Odorizzi
Our model56%44%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cristina Pescucci (rating 1481 vs 1436).

Statistics

Cristina PescucciCaterina Odorizzi
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1-1.20.7-1.4
Games (G-P)9-9.16.8-9.8
Aces20.6
Double faults3.91.8
1st serve %60.8%49%
Break %47.4%55%
Estimated total games (ours) 19

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cristina Pescucci

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Franziska Sziedat
W35 Verbier
0-2 5-12 L
17/08 Maria Michaela Fiacan
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-6 W
16/08 Juliette Mazzoni
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Lucie Petruzelova
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
15/06 Lykke Lindorff
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/04 Adithya Karunaratne
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/10 Iida Heinonen
ITF W15 Taby · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
14/10 Francesca Gandolfi
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
08/09 Masha Lazarenko
ITF W15 Viserba · Clay
1-2 8-10 L
07/09 Carlotta Bassotti
ITF W15 Viserba · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Caterina Odorizzi

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Gaeul Jang
W50 Prague
0-2 5-12 L
11/08 Milana Ivantsiv
W35 Vigo
1-2 12-10 L
27/07 Chloe Noel
W50 Dublin
0-2 3-12 L
13/07 Zuzanna Kolonus
W50 Nottingham
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Zainab Williams
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-7 W
30/06 Hina Inoue
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Belle Thompson
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/06 Elizabeth Jurna
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/06 Raquel Caballero Chica
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
03/06 Berta Bonardi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cristina Pescucci vs Caterina Odorizzi?

Our model gives 56% to Cristina Pescucci, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.