Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 23/08, 23:00
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Kamilla Rakhimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Kamilla Rakhimova
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
6-4 (W-L)
Kamilla Rakhimova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Timofeeva
0–1
Kamilla Rakhimova
(1 last)
- 21 Aug0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1515 · Kamilla Rakhimova 1493
| Maria Timofeeva | Kamilla Rakhimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Timofeeva 0–1 Kamilla Rakhimova (1).
- Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Kamilla Rakhimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.1 | 11.9-12 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Maria Timofeeva 0 – 1 Kamilla Rakhimova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Timofeeva 0–1 Kamilla Rakhimova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/24 US Open Women | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 23/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Kamilla Rakhimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Venus Williams WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Heather Watson WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Anhelina Kalinina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla Rakhimova?
Our model gives 53% to Kamilla Rakhimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.