Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 24/08, 03:30
Prediction: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola Bartunkova
Team pages: Antonia Ruzic · Nikola Bartunkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Antonia Ruzic
Nikola Bartunkova
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Ruzic
3-7 (W-L)
Nikola Bartunkova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antonia Ruzic 1459 · Nikola Bartunkova 1513
| Antonia Ruzic | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikola Bartunkova (rating 1459 vs 1513).
- Nikola Bartunkova dominates on serve: 6 aces and 44.1% break avg.
- Note: Nikola Bartunkova makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Antonia Ruzic | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-12.4 | 12.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 40% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antonia Ruzic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Madison Keys WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Jelena Ostapenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Caty McNally WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Kaja Juvan WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nikola Bartunkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alina Charaeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Peyton Stearns Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Our model gives 65% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.