Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 24/08, 19:00
Prediction: Maria Camila Osorio vs Ann Li
Team pages: Maria Camila Osorio · Ann Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Camila Osorio
Ann Li
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Camila Osorio
5-5 (W-L)
Ann Li
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Camila Osorio
2–3
Ann Li
(5 last)
- 19 Jan1-2 16-19L
- 23 Oct0-2 7-13L
- 25 Sept2-1 20-17W
- 29 Aug2-1 13-10W
- 24 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Camila Osorio 1467 · Ann Li 1491
| Maria Camila Osorio | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Camila Osorio 2–3 Ann Li (5).
- Note: Maria Camila Osorio makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Maria Camila Osorio | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.9 | 9.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Maria Camila Osorio 2 – 3 Ann Li (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Camila Osorio 2–3 Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/26 Australian Open Women | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 23/10/25 WTA Guangzhou | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09/25 WTA Beijing | 2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 29/08/22 US Open Women | 2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/10/21 WTA Tenerife | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Camila Osorio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Storm Hunter WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Simona Waltert Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yulia Putintseva French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Camila Osorio vs Ann Li?
Our model gives 51% to Maria Camila Osorio, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.