Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 24/08, 19:00
Prediction: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova
Team pages: Mayar Sherif · Oleksandra Oliynykova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayar Sherif
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mayar Sherif
8-2 (W-L)
Oleksandra Oliynykova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mayar Sherif
1–3
Oleksandra Oliynykova
(4 last)
- 18 Jul2-0 12-4W
- 01 Feb1-2 15-18L
- 09 Nov1-2 10-15L
- 02 Sept0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayar Sherif 1640 · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1567
| Mayar Sherif | Oleksandra Oliynykova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayar Sherif (rating 1640 vs 1567).
- Mayar Sherif is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mayar Sherif 1–3 Oleksandra Oliynykova (4).
- Note: Oleksandra Oliynykova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mayar Sherif | Oleksandra Oliynykova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-10.1 | 11-11 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 54.5% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Mayar Sherif 1 – 3 Oleksandra Oliynykova (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mayar Sherif 1–3 Oleksandra Oliynykova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 WTA Iasi | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/02/26 WTA Cluj-Napoca | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 09/11/25 WTA Tucuman | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/09/25 WTA Montreux | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayar Sherif
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Dalma Galfi WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 11/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Oleksandra Oliynykova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Ipek Oz WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova?
Our model gives 60% to Mayar Sherif, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.