Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 24/08, 19:00
Prediction: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazua
Team pages: Clara Tauson · Renata Zarazua
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Tauson
Renata Zarazua
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Tauson
6-4 (W-L)
Renata Zarazua
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Clara Tauson
0–1
Renata Zarazua
(1 last)
- 16 Nov1-2 17-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Tauson 1481 · Renata Zarazua 1517
| Clara Tauson | Renata Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Clara Tauson dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 44.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Clara Tauson 0–1 Renata Zarazua (1).
- Note: Clara Tauson makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Clara Tauson | Renata Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.9 | 9.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Clara Tauson 0 – 1 Renata Zarazua (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Clara Tauson 0–1 Renata Zarazua
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/24 Billie Jean King Cup | 1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Tauson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Renata Zarazua
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Yue Yuan WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 01/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | McCartney Kessler WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Sloane Stephens W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazua?
Our model gives 61% to Clara Tauson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.