Tennis · W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 23/08, 13:30
Prediction: Xinran Sun vs Nadja Mladenovic
Team pages: Xinran Sun · Nadja Mladenovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinran Sun
Nadja Mladenovic
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xinran Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Nadja Mladenovic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinran Sun 1492 · Nadja Mladenovic 1431
| Xinran Sun | Nadja Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xinran Sun (rating 1492 vs 1431).
- Note: Nadja Mladenovic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Xinran Sun | Nadja Mladenovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.3 | 8-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 72.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinran Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Anja Stankovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Mia Horvit W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Mariya Yemshanova W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Ella Seidel W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/05 | Mia Ristic WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Nadja Mladenovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 06/07 | Aleksandra Pozarenko W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 29/06 | Tea Nikcevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Petja Drame W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Jana Bozinovska W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Elena Milutinovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Mia Milisavljevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/05 | Valeriya Strakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Anja Stankovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinran Sun vs Nadja Mladenovic?
Our model gives 76% to Xinran Sun, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.