Tennis · W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 23/08, 13:30
Prediction: Darya Velikova vs Mary Lewis
Team pages: Darya Velikova · Mary Lewis
Prediction summary
Winner
Darya Velikova
Mary Lewis
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Darya Velikova
3-7 (W-L)
Mary Lewis
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darya Velikova 1442 · Mary Lewis 1448
| Darya Velikova | Mary Lewis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Darya Velikova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Mary Lewis makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Darya Velikova | Mary Lewis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.9-10.4 | 7.6-12 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 46.3% | 48.6% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darya Velikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Salma Drugdova W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Lucia Llinares Domingo W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Margaux Maquet W50 Horb |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Samantha Imbo Nloga W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Julia Stamatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yoana Konstantinova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Mary Lewis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Milena Steinkamp W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Mimi Xu W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Mia Wainwright W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Ekua Youri W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Momoko Kobori WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Ana Grubor W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Savannah Broadus W35 Rome |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Amelie Van Impe W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darya Velikova vs Mary Lewis?
Our model gives 57% to Mary Lewis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.