Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Thomas Faurel
Team pages: Marvin Moeller · Thomas Faurel
Prediction summary
Winner
Marvin Moeller
Thomas Faurel
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Thomas Faurel
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1549 · Thomas Faurel 1422
| Marvin Moeller | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1549 vs 1422).
- Marvin Moeller is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marvin Moeller | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.9 | 11.9-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 23.7% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 10/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Thomas Faurel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Elmer Moller ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Thomas Faurel?
Our model gives 61% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.