Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas
Team pages: Marko Topo · Miguel Damas
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Topo
Miguel Damas
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Topo
6-4 (W-L)
Miguel Damas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Topo 1497 · Miguel Damas 1472
| Marko Topo | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Marko Topo dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 41.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Marko Topo | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.6 | 9.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 54.7% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Topo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Miguel Damas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Thomas Faurel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Nikola Slavic ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Harold Huens Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas?
Our model gives 58% to Marko Topo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.