Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald
Team pages: Cezar Cretu · Niels McDonald
Prediction summary
Winner
Cezar Cretu
Niels McDonald
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Cezar Cretu
3-7 (W-L)
Niels McDonald
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cezar Cretu
1–0
Niels McDonald
(1 last)
- 25 Jun2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1443 · Niels McDonald 1501
| Cezar Cretu | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niels McDonald (rating 1443 vs 1501).
- Head-to-head: Cezar Cretu 1–0 Niels McDonald (1).
Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.1 | 9.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Cezar Cretu 1 – 0 Niels McDonald (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cezar Cretu 1–0 Niels McDonald
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 Challenger Targu Mures | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cezar Cretu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Niels McDonald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald?
Our model gives 54% to Niels McDonald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.