Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 23/08, 11:00
Prediction: Matthew William Donald vs Giorgio Tabacco
Team pages: Matthew William Donald · Giorgio Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew William Donald
Giorgio Tabacco
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew William Donald
7-3 (W-L)
Giorgio Tabacco
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew William Donald
1–0
Giorgio Tabacco
(1 last)
- 27 Jun2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew William Donald 1506 · Giorgio Tabacco 1453
| Matthew William Donald | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew William Donald (rating 1506 vs 1453).
- Head-to-head: Matthew William Donald 1–0 Giorgio Tabacco (1).
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Matthew William Donald | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.4 | 9.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 66% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Matthew William Donald 1 – 0 Giorgio Tabacco (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew William Donald 1–0 Giorgio Tabacco
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/25 M15 Bergamo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew William Donald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Christopher Thies Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Giorgio Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Massimo Giunta M25 Fano |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Maximilian Figl M25 Fano |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Edoardo Betti M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 20/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Iiro Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew William Donald vs Giorgio Tabacco?
Our model gives 64% to Matthew William Donald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.