Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 23/08, 11:00
Prediction: Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel Siniakov
Team pages: Kai Wehnelt · Daniel Siniakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Kai Wehnelt
Daniel Siniakov
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kai Wehnelt
8-2 (W-L)
Daniel Siniakov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kai Wehnelt 1531 · Daniel Siniakov 1481
| Kai Wehnelt | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kai Wehnelt (rating 1531 vs 1481).
Statistics
| Kai Wehnelt | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.2 | 12.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kai Wehnelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Nino Ehrenschneider Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Noah Karma Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Flynn Thomas M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Thomas Gunzinger M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Nicolas Ifi Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
Daniel Siniakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Tim Handel Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Jonas Kucera Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/07 | Raphael Perot M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Liam Gavrielides M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | David Fix M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel Siniakov?
Our model gives 50% to Kai Wehnelt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.